WTA · Head-to-Head Rivalry
Model win probabilities, betting edges and DFS projections for every ATP & WTA match.
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Meetings
11
Series
9–2
Aryna Sabalenka first
Last Meeting
May 30, 2026
Avg Game Margin
6.4
winner's games minus loser's
Record by Surface
Aryna Sabalenka in green, Daria Kasatkina in blue.
Series shown from Aryna Sabalenka's perspective.
Every Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina Meeting
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | French Open | Clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-0 7-5 |
| May 25, 2026 | Roland GarrosR32 | Clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-0 7-5 |
| Jun 17, 2024 | BerlinR16 | Grass | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-4 |
| Jan 1, 2024 | BrisbaneQuarterfinal | Hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-4 |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Us OpenR16 | Hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-3 |
| Aug 14, 2023 | CincinnatiR16 | Hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-3 |
| Aug 1, 2022 | San JoseQuarterfinal | Hard | Daria Kasatkina | 4-6 7-5 6-0 |
| Apr 29, 2021 | MadridR32 | Clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-3 |
| Feb 8, 2021 | Australian OpenR64 | Hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-6(5) 6-3 |
| Sep 28, 2020 | Roland GarrosR64 | Clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-6(6) 6-0 |
| Sep 30, 2019 | BeijingR32 | Hard | Daria Kasatkina | 6-4 7-6(5) |
Tour-level meetings back to 1968 where available. Dates reflect the tournament start.
Rating & Ranking
| Aryna Sabalenka | Daria Kasatkina | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | WTA Rank | #61 |
| 2127 | Overall Elo | 1768 |
| 2131 | Hard Elo | 1693 |
| 1898 | Clay Elo | 1690 |
| 1738 | Grass Elo | 1582 |
breakPoint Elo starts every player at 1500 and weights matches by tournament importance — values are internally consistent but not comparable to other published Elo scales.
Form & Activity
| Aryna Sabalenka | Daria Kasatkina | |
|---|---|---|
| 43–10 | 2026 Season | 16–17 |
| 81%62 matches | Last 12 Months | 46%34 matches |
| 60% | Form (last 5) | 40% |
| 67% | Form (30 days) | 25% |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Last Match | Aug 13, 2026 |
Serve & Return
| Aryna Sabalenka | Daria Kasatkina | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% | Hold % | 56% |
| 40% | Break % | 44% |
| 7.5% | Ace Rate | 2.5% |
| 3.6% | Double Fault Rate | 8.6% |
| 64% | Serve Pts Won | 52% |
| 45% | Return Pts Won | 46% |
Career rates over each player's tracked matches.
Advanced Stats
Advanced stats are for Pro members
Per-Match Averages
| Aryna Sabalenka | Daria Kasatkina | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.8 | Avg Aces | 1.5 |
| 3.3 | Avg Aces Against | 2.2 |
| 3.9 | Avg Breaks | 4.7 |
| 21.8 | Avg Games | 21.6 |
| 573 | Matches | 562 |
Career averages per best-of-3 match; aces against are opponent aces conceded, breaks are service breaks won. Each stat covers the matches where it was tracked.