WTA · Head-to-Head Rivalry
Model win probabilities, betting edges and DFS projections for every ATP & WTA match.
card required · cancel anytime
Meetings
13
Series
11–2
Aryna Sabalenka first
Last Meeting
Jun 30, 2025
Avg Game Margin
5.0
winner's games minus loser's
Record by Surface
Aryna Sabalenka in green, Elise Mertens in blue.
Series shown from Aryna Sabalenka's perspective.
Every Aryna Sabalenka vs Elise Mertens Meeting
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2025 | WimbledonR16 | Grass | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 7-6(4) |
| Apr 22, 2025 | MadridR32 | Clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 3-6 6-2 6-1 |
| Apr 14, 2025 | StuttgartQuarterfinal | Clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 6-1 |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Us OpenR16 | Hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-2 6-4 |
| Jan 16, 2023 | Australian OpenR32 | Hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-2 6-3 |
| Aug 30, 2021 | Us OpenR16 | Hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 6-1 |
| Apr 29, 2021 | MadridQuarterfinal | Clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 4-0 RET |
| Nov 9, 2020 | LinzFinal | Hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5 6-2 |
| Feb 17, 2020 | DubaiR16 | Hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 6-3 |
| Oct 22, 2019 | ZhuhaiRR | Hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 3-6 7-5 |
| Aug 6, 2018 | MontrealR16 | Hard | Elise Mertens | 2-6 7-6(1) 6-0 |
| Jun 25, 2018 | EastbourneR16 | Grass | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5 2-6 7-6(4) |
| Apr 9, 2018 | LuganoFinal | Clay | Elise Mertens | 7-5 6-2 |
Tour-level meetings back to 1968 where available. Dates reflect the tournament start.
Rating & Ranking
| Aryna Sabalenka | Elise Mertens | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | WTA Rank | #20 |
| 2127 | Overall Elo | 1908 |
| 2131 | Hard Elo | 1777 |
| 1898 | Clay Elo | 1675 |
| 1738 | Grass Elo | 1716 |
breakPoint Elo starts every player at 1500 and weights matches by tournament importance — values are internally consistent but not comparable to other published Elo scales.
Form & Activity
| Aryna Sabalenka | Elise Mertens | |
|---|---|---|
| 43–10 | 2026 Season | 25–17 |
| 81%62 matches | Last 12 Months | 57%47 matches |
| 60% | Form (last 5) | 40% |
| 67% | Form (30 days) | 33% |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Last Match | Aug 15, 2026 |
Serve & Return
| Aryna Sabalenka | Elise Mertens | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% | Hold % | 70% |
| 40% | Break % | 40% |
| 7.5% | Ace Rate | 6.4% |
| 3.6% | Double Fault Rate | 7.0% |
| 64% | Serve Pts Won | 59% |
| 45% | Return Pts Won | 44% |
Career rates over each player's tracked matches.
Advanced Stats
Advanced stats are for Pro members
Per-Match Averages
| Aryna Sabalenka | Elise Mertens | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.8 | Avg Aces | 3.5 |
| 3.3 | Avg Aces Against | 1.9 |
| 3.9 | Avg Breaks | 4.2 |
| 21.8 | Avg Games | 21.1 |
| 573 | Matches | 537 |
Career averages per best-of-3 match; aces against are opponent aces conceded, breaks are service breaks won. Each stat covers the matches where it was tracked.