WTA · Head-to-Head Rivalry
Model win probabilities, betting edges and DFS projections for every ATP & WTA match.
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Meetings
12
Series
2–10
Daria Kasatkina first
Last Meeting
Jan 6, 2025
Avg Game Margin
5.9
winner's games minus loser's
Record by Surface
Daria Kasatkina in green, Madison Keys in blue.
Series shown from Daria Kasatkina's perspective.
Every Daria Kasatkina vs Madison Keys Meeting
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2025 | AdelaideQuarterfinal | Hard | Madison Keys | 6-1 6-3 |
| Jun 26, 2023 | EastbourneFinal | Grass | Madison Keys | 6-2 7-6(13) |
| Apr 3, 2023 | CharlestonQuarterfinal | Clay | Daria Kasatkina | 6-7(5) 6-4 6-2 |
| Oct 10, 2022 | San DiegoR16 | Hard | Madison Keys | 6-4 6-3 |
| Jan 3, 2022 | Melbourne 2R16 | Hard | Daria Kasatkina | 7-6(4) 2-6 6-3 |
| Jan 20, 2020 | Australian OpenR128 | Hard | Madison Keys | 6-3 6-1 |
| Sep 16, 2019 | OsakaR32 | Hard | Madison Keys | 6-3 6-4 |
| Aug 12, 2019 | CincinnatiR32 | Hard | Madison Keys | 6-4 6-1 |
| Oct 29, 2018 | ZhuhaiR16 | Hard | Madison Keys | 6-2 6-4 |
| Aug 14, 2017 | CincinnatiR32 | Hard | Madison Keys | 6-2 6-1 |
| Sep 26, 2016 | WuhanR16 | Hard | Madison Keys | 6-1 4-6 6-4 |
| Aug 8, 2016 | OlympicsQuarterfinal | Hard | Madison Keys | 6-3 6-1 |
Tour-level meetings back to 1968 where available. Dates reflect the tournament start.
Rating & Ranking
| Daria Kasatkina | Madison Keys | |
|---|---|---|
| #61 | WTA Rank | #24 |
| 1768 | Overall Elo | 1998 |
| 1693 | Hard Elo | 1842 |
| 1690 | Clay Elo | 1775 |
| 1582 | Grass Elo | 1743 |
breakPoint Elo starts every player at 1500 and weights matches by tournament importance — values are internally consistent but not comparable to other published Elo scales.
Form & Activity
| Daria Kasatkina | Madison Keys | |
|---|---|---|
| 16–17 | 2026 Season | 32–14 |
| 46%34 matches | Last 12 Months | 67%48 matches |
| 40% | Form (last 5) | 60% |
| 25% | Form (30 days) | 57% |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Last Match | Aug 21, 2026 |
Serve & Return
| Daria Kasatkina | Madison Keys | |
|---|---|---|
| 56% | Hold % | 76% |
| 44% | Break % | 37% |
| 2.5% | Ace Rate | 6.1% |
| 8.6% | Double Fault Rate | 5.4% |
| 52% | Serve Pts Won | 62% |
| 46% | Return Pts Won | 43% |
Career rates over each player's tracked matches.
Advanced Stats
Advanced stats are for Pro members
Per-Match Averages
| Daria Kasatkina | Madison Keys | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | Avg Aces | 4.9 |
| 2.2 | Avg Aces Against | 1.6 |
| 4.7 | Avg Breaks | 3.6 |
| 21.6 | Avg Games | 21.7 |
| 562 | Matches | 597 |
Career averages per best-of-3 match; aces against are opponent aces conceded, breaks are service breaks won. Each stat covers the matches where it was tracked.