ATP · Head-to-Head Rivalry
Model win probabilities, betting edges and DFS projections for every ATP & WTA match.
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Meetings
10
Series
2–8
Denis Shapovalov first
Last Meeting
Jul 3, 2026
Avg Game Margin
3.1
winner's games minus loser's
Record by Surface
Denis Shapovalov in green, Pablo Carreno Busta in blue.
Series shown from Denis Shapovalov's perspective.
Every Denis Shapovalov vs Pablo Carreno Busta Meeting
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2026 | WimbledonR128 | Grass | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-3 7-6(9-7) |
| Jun 29, 2026 | WimbledonR128 | Grass | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-3 7-6(9-7) |
| Feb 23, 2026 | DubaiR32 | Hard | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-2 6-4 |
| Oct 31, 2022 | Paris MastersR32 | Hard | Pablo Carreno Busta | 7-6(2) 2-6 6-4 |
| Jan 3, 2022 | Atp CupFinal | Hard | Denis Shapovalov | 6-4 6-3 |
| Aug 31, 2020 | Us OpenQuarterfinal | Hard | Pablo Carreno Busta | 3-6 7-6(5) 7-6(4) 0-6 6-3 |
| Oct 21, 2019 | ViennaR32 | Hard | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-3 7-5 |
| Sep 23, 2019 | ChengduSemifinal | Hard | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-3 6-4 |
| May 13, 2019 | Rome MastersR64 | Clay | Denis Shapovalov | 6-3 7-6(5) |
| Aug 28, 2017 | US OpenR16 | Hard | Pablo Carreno Busta | 7-6(2) 7-6(4) 7-6(3) |
Tour-level meetings back to 1968 where available. Dates reflect the tournament start.
Rating & Ranking
| Denis Shapovalov | Pablo Carreno Busta | |
|---|---|---|
| #48 | ATP Rank | #66 |
| 1696 | Overall Elo | 1772 |
| 1737 | Hard Elo | 1602 |
| 1518 | Clay Elo | 1693 |
| 1483 | Grass Elo | 1508 |
breakPoint Elo starts every player at 1500 and weights matches by tournament importance — values are internally consistent but not comparable to other published Elo scales.
Form & Activity
| Denis Shapovalov | Pablo Carreno Busta | |
|---|---|---|
| 14–19 | 2026 Season | 14–13 |
| 44%43 matches | Last 12 Months | 50%33 matches |
| 40% | Form (last 5) | 25% |
| 63% | Form (30 days) | 33% |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Last Match | Aug 23, 2026 |
Serve & Return
| Denis Shapovalov | Pablo Carreno Busta | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% | Hold % | 71% |
| 24% | Break % | 28% |
| 10.1% | Ace Rate | 4.8% |
| 7.2% | Double Fault Rate | 2.3% |
| 63% | Serve Pts Won | 61% |
| 38% | Return Pts Won | 37% |
Career rates over each player's tracked matches.
Advanced Stats
Advanced stats are for Pro members
Per-Match Averages
| Denis Shapovalov | Pablo Carreno Busta | |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | Avg Aces | 3.6 |
| 3.6 | Avg Aces Against | 5.9 |
| 2.3 | Avg Breaks | 2.7 |
| 23.8 | Avg Games | 22.8 |
| 372 | Matches | 436 |
Career averages per best-of-3 match; aces against are opponent aces conceded, breaks are service breaks won. Each stat covers the matches where it was tracked.