ATP · Head-to-Head Rivalry
Model win probabilities, betting edges and DFS projections for every ATP & WTA match.
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Meetings
16
Series
6–10
Dominic Thiem first
Last Meeting
Jan 1, 2024
Avg Game Margin
5.6
winner's games minus loser's
Record by Surface
Dominic Thiem in green, Rafael Nadal in blue.
Series shown from Dominic Thiem's perspective.
Every Dominic Thiem vs Rafael Nadal Meeting
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2024 | BrisbaneR32 | Hard | Rafael Nadal | 7-5 6-1 |
| Nov 16, 2020 | Tour FinalsRR | Hard | Dominic Thiem | 7-6(7) 7-6(4) |
| Jan 20, 2020 | Australian OpenQuarterfinal | Hard | Dominic Thiem | 7-6(3) 7-6(4) 4-6 7-6(6) |
| May 27, 2019 | Roland GarrosFinal | Clay | Rafael Nadal | 6-3 5-7 6-1 6-1 |
| Apr 22, 2019 | BarcelonaSemifinal | Clay | Dominic Thiem | 6-4 6-4 |
| Aug 27, 2018 | US OpenQuarterfinal | Hard | Rafael Nadal | 0-6 6-4 7-5 6-7(4) 7-6(5) |
| May 28, 2018 | Roland GarrosFinal | Clay | Rafael Nadal | 6-4 6-3 6-2 |
| May 7, 2018 | Madrid MastersQuarterfinal | Clay | Dominic Thiem | 7-5 6-3 |
| Apr 16, 2018 | Monte Carlo MastersQuarterfinal | Clay | Rafael Nadal | 6-0 6-2 |
| May 29, 2017 | Roland GarrosSemifinal | Clay | Rafael Nadal | 6-3 6-4 6-0 |
| May 15, 2017 | Rome MastersQuarterfinal | Clay | Dominic Thiem | 6-4 6-3 |
| May 8, 2017 | Madrid MastersFinal | Clay | Rafael Nadal | 7-6(8) 6-4 |
| Apr 24, 2017 | BarcelonaFinal | Clay | Rafael Nadal | 6-4 6-1 |
| Apr 11, 2016 | Monte Carlo MastersR16 | Clay | Rafael Nadal | 7-5 6-3 |
| Feb 8, 2016 | Buenos AiresSemifinal | Clay | Dominic Thiem | 6-4 4-6 7-6(4) |
| May 26, 2014 | Roland GarrosR64 | Clay | Rafael Nadal | 6-2 6-2 6-3 |
Tour-level meetings back to 1968 where available. Dates reflect the tournament start.
Rating & Ranking
| Dominic Thiem | Rafael Nadal | |
|---|---|---|
| — | ATP Rank | — |
| 1568 | Overall Elo | 1758 |
| 1571 | Hard Elo | 1682 |
| 1547 | Clay Elo | 1721 |
| 1483 | Grass Elo | 1629 |
breakPoint Elo starts every player at 1500 and weights matches by tournament importance — values are internally consistent but not comparable to other published Elo scales.
Form & Activity
| Dominic Thiem | Rafael Nadal | |
|---|---|---|
| — | 2026 Season | — |
| —0 matches | Last 12 Months | —0 matches |
| 0% | Form (last 5) | 50% |
| — | Form (30 days) | — |
| Oct 21, 2024 | Last Match | Nov 19, 2024 |
Serve & Return
| Dominic Thiem | Rafael Nadal | |
|---|---|---|
| 82% | Hold % | 86% |
| 23% | Break % | 33% |
| 7.2% | Ace Rate | 4.6% |
| 3.5% | Double Fault Rate | 2.5% |
| 65% | Serve Pts Won | 68% |
| 37% | Return Pts Won | 42% |
Career rates over each player's tracked matches.
Advanced Stats
Advanced stats are for Pro members
Per-Match Averages
| Dominic Thiem | Rafael Nadal | |
|---|---|---|
| 5.2 | Avg Aces | 2.8 |
| 4.9 | Avg Aces Against | 5.0 |
| 2.5 | Avg Breaks | 3.4 |
| 23.2 | Avg Games | 21.4 |
| 444 | Matches | 560 |
Career averages per best-of-3 match; aces against are opponent aces conceded, breaks are service breaks won. Each stat covers the matches where it was tracked.