ATP · Head-to-Head Rivalry

🇦🇹 Dominic Thiem
Age 33 · Elo 1568
vs
🇪🇸 Rafael Nadal
Age 40 · Elo 1758
6
10

Model win probabilities, betting edges and DFS projections for every ATP & WTA match.

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Meetings

16

Series

6–10

Dominic Thiem first

Last Meeting

Jan 1, 2024

Avg Game Margin

5.6

winner's games minus loser's

Dominic Thiem · 610 · Rafael Nadal
20142024

Record by Surface

Clay
48
Hard
22

Dominic Thiem in green, Rafael Nadal in blue.

Series shown from Dominic Thiem's perspective.

Every Dominic Thiem vs Rafael Nadal Meeting

DateTournamentSurfaceWinnerScore
Jan 1, 2024BrisbaneR32HardRafael Nadal7-5 6-1
Nov 16, 2020Tour FinalsRRHardDominic Thiem7-6(7) 7-6(4)
Jan 20, 2020Australian OpenQuarterfinalHardDominic Thiem7-6(3) 7-6(4) 4-6 7-6(6)
May 27, 2019Roland GarrosFinalClayRafael Nadal6-3 5-7 6-1 6-1
Apr 22, 2019BarcelonaSemifinalClayDominic Thiem6-4 6-4
Aug 27, 2018US OpenQuarterfinalHardRafael Nadal0-6 6-4 7-5 6-7(4) 7-6(5)
May 28, 2018Roland GarrosFinalClayRafael Nadal6-4 6-3 6-2
May 7, 2018Madrid MastersQuarterfinalClayDominic Thiem7-5 6-3
Apr 16, 2018Monte Carlo MastersQuarterfinalClayRafael Nadal6-0 6-2
May 29, 2017Roland GarrosSemifinalClayRafael Nadal6-3 6-4 6-0
May 15, 2017Rome MastersQuarterfinalClayDominic Thiem6-4 6-3
May 8, 2017Madrid MastersFinalClayRafael Nadal7-6(8) 6-4
Apr 24, 2017BarcelonaFinalClayRafael Nadal6-4 6-1
Apr 11, 2016Monte Carlo MastersR16ClayRafael Nadal7-5 6-3
Feb 8, 2016Buenos AiresSemifinalClayDominic Thiem6-4 4-6 7-6(4)
May 26, 2014Roland GarrosR64ClayRafael Nadal6-2 6-2 6-3

Tour-level meetings back to 1968 where available. Dates reflect the tournament start.

Rating & Ranking

Dominic ThiemRafael Nadal
ATP Rank
1568Overall Elo1758
1571Hard Elo1682
1547Clay Elo1721
1483Grass Elo1629

breakPoint Elo starts every player at 1500 and weights matches by tournament importance — values are internally consistent but not comparable to other published Elo scales.

Form & Activity

Dominic ThiemRafael Nadal
2026 Season
0 matchesLast 12 Months0 matches
0%Form (last 5)50%
Form (30 days)
Oct 21, 2024Last MatchNov 19, 2024

Serve & Return

Dominic ThiemRafael Nadal
82%Hold %86%
23%Break %33%
7.2%Ace Rate4.6%
3.5%Double Fault Rate2.5%
65%Serve Pts Won68%
37%Return Pts Won42%

Career rates over each player's tracked matches.

Advanced Stats

Advanced stats are for Pro members

Per-Match Averages

Dominic ThiemRafael Nadal
5.2Avg Aces2.8
4.9Avg Aces Against5.0
2.5Avg Breaks3.4
23.2Avg Games21.4
444Matches560

Career averages per best-of-3 match; aces against are opponent aces conceded, breaks are service breaks won. Each stat covers the matches where it was tracked.

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