ATP · Head-to-Head Rivalry
Model win probabilities, betting edges and DFS projections for every ATP & WTA match.
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Meetings
14
Series
2–12
Kei Nishikori first
Last Meeting
Apr 19, 2021
Avg Game Margin
5.7
winner's games minus loser's
Record by Surface
Kei Nishikori in green, Rafael Nadal in blue.
Series shown from Kei Nishikori's perspective.
Every Kei Nishikori vs Rafael Nadal Meeting
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2021 | BarcelonaR16 | Clay | Rafael Nadal | 6-0 2-6 6-2 |
| May 27, 2019 | Roland GarrosQuarterfinal | Clay | Rafael Nadal | 6-1 6-1 6-3 |
| Apr 16, 2018 | Monte Carlo MastersFinal | Clay | Rafael Nadal | 6-3 6-2 |
| Aug 8, 2016 | Rio OlympicsBR | Hard | Kei Nishikori | 6-2 6-7(1) 6-3 |
| Apr 18, 2016 | BarcelonaFinal | Clay | Rafael Nadal | 6-4 7-5 |
| Mar 7, 2016 | Indian Wells MastersQuarterfinal | Hard | Rafael Nadal | 6-4 6-3 |
| Aug 10, 2015 | Canada MastersQuarterfinal | Hard | Kei Nishikori | 6-2 6-4 |
| May 4, 2014 | Madrid MastersFinal | Clay | Rafael Nadal | 2-6 6-4 3-0 RET |
| Jan 13, 2014 | Australian OpenR16 | Hard | Rafael Nadal | 7-6(3) 7-5 7-6(3) |
| May 27, 2013 | Roland GarrosR16 | Clay | Rafael Nadal | 6-4 6-1 6-3 |
| Mar 21, 2012 | Miami MastersR16 | Hard | Rafael Nadal | 6-4 6-4 |
| Mar 23, 2011 | Miami MastersR64 | Hard | Rafael Nadal | 6-4 6-4 |
| Jun 21, 2010 | WimbledonR128 | Grass | Rafael Nadal | 6-2 6-4 6-4 |
| Jun 9, 2008 | Queen's ClubR16 | Grass | Rafael Nadal | 6-4 3-6 6-3 |
Tour-level meetings back to 1968 where available. Dates reflect the tournament start.
Rating & Ranking
| Kei Nishikori | Rafael Nadal | |
|---|---|---|
| #481 | ATP Rank | — |
| 1676 | Overall Elo | 1758 |
| 1609 | Hard Elo | 1682 |
| 1567 | Clay Elo | 1721 |
| 1538 | Grass Elo | 1629 |
breakPoint Elo starts every player at 1500 and weights matches by tournament importance — values are internally consistent but not comparable to other published Elo scales.
Form & Activity
| Kei Nishikori | Rafael Nadal | |
|---|---|---|
| 1–3 | 2026 Season | — |
| 25%5 matches | Last 12 Months | —0 matches |
| 25% | Form (last 5) | 50% |
| 25% | Form (30 days) | — |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Last Match | Nov 19, 2024 |
Serve & Return
| Kei Nishikori | Rafael Nadal | |
|---|---|---|
| 74% | Hold % | 86% |
| 22% | Break % | 33% |
| 3.2% | Ace Rate | 4.6% |
| 3.6% | Double Fault Rate | 2.5% |
| 60% | Serve Pts Won | 68% |
| 38% | Return Pts Won | 42% |
Career rates over each player's tracked matches.
Advanced Stats
Advanced stats are for Pro members
Per-Match Averages
| Kei Nishikori | Rafael Nadal | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.9 | Avg Aces | 2.8 |
| 5.9 | Avg Aces Against | 5.0 |
| 2.9 | Avg Breaks | 3.4 |
| 22.4 | Avg Games | 21.4 |
| 480 | Matches | 560 |
Career averages per best-of-3 match; aces against are opponent aces conceded, breaks are service breaks won. Each stat covers the matches where it was tracked.