ATP · Head-to-Head Rivalry
Model win probabilities, betting edges and DFS projections for every ATP & WTA match.
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Meetings
11
Series
3–8
Kei Nishikori first
Last Meeting
Jul 1, 2019
Avg Game Margin
4.4
winner's games minus loser's
Record by Surface
Kei Nishikori in green, Roger Federer in blue.
Series shown from Kei Nishikori's perspective.
Every Kei Nishikori vs Roger Federer Meeting
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2019 | WimbledonQuarterfinal | Grass | Roger Federer | 4-6 6-1 6-4 6-4 |
| Nov 12, 2018 | Tour FinalsRR | Hard | Kei Nishikori | 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| Oct 29, 2018 | Paris MastersQuarterfinal | Hard | Roger Federer | 6-4 6-4 |
| Oct 8, 2018 | Shanghai MastersQuarterfinal | Hard | Roger Federer | 6-4 7-6(4) |
| Jan 16, 2017 | Australian OpenR16 | Hard | Roger Federer | 6-7(4) 6-4 6-1 4-6 6-3 |
| Nov 15, 2015 | Tour FinalsRR | Hard | Roger Federer | 7-5 4-6 6-4 |
| Nov 9, 2014 | Tour FinalsRR | Hard | Roger Federer | 6-3 6-2 |
| Jun 9, 2014 | HalleSemifinal | Grass | Roger Federer | 6-3 7-6(4) |
| Mar 19, 2014 | Miami MastersQuarterfinal | Hard | Kei Nishikori | 3-6 7-5 6-4 |
| May 5, 2013 | Madrid MastersR16 | Clay | Kei Nishikori | 6-4 1-6 6-2 |
| Oct 31, 2011 | BaselFinal | Hard | Roger Federer | 6-1 6-3 |
Tour-level meetings back to 1968 where available. Dates reflect the tournament start.
Rating & Ranking
| Kei Nishikori | Roger Federer | |
|---|---|---|
| #481 | ATP Rank | — |
| 1676 | Overall Elo | 1701 |
| 1609 | Hard Elo | 1662 |
| 1567 | Clay Elo | 1608 |
| 1538 | Grass Elo | 1618 |
breakPoint Elo starts every player at 1500 and weights matches by tournament importance — values are internally consistent but not comparable to other published Elo scales.
Form & Activity
| Kei Nishikori | Roger Federer | |
|---|---|---|
| 1–3 | 2026 Season | — |
| 25%5 matches | Last 12 Months | —0 matches |
| 25% | Form (last 5) | 100% |
| 25% | Form (30 days) | — |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Last Match | Jun 28, 2021 |
Serve & Return
| Kei Nishikori | Roger Federer | |
|---|---|---|
| 74% | Hold % | 90% |
| 22% | Break % | 26% |
| 3.2% | Ace Rate | 10.5% |
| 3.6% | Double Fault Rate | 2.1% |
| 60% | Serve Pts Won | 71% |
| 38% | Return Pts Won | 39% |
Career rates over each player's tracked matches.
Advanced Stats
Advanced stats are for Pro members
Per-Match Averages
| Kei Nishikori | Roger Federer | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.9 | Avg Aces | 7.0 |
| 5.9 | Avg Aces Against | 5.0 |
| 2.9 | Avg Breaks | 2.8 |
| 22.4 | Avg Games | 22.7 |
| 480 | Matches | 457 |
Career averages per best-of-3 match; aces against are opponent aces conceded, breaks are service breaks won. Each stat covers the matches where it was tracked.